Looking again at the outcome of Sowore’s case

The circumstances of Sowore’s release confirmed Rambo’s position that the government intended to subject Sowore to the same treatment as Dasuki.

Dasuki was granted bail 4 years ago. But the DSS rearrested him and held him indefinitely. Based on our analysis, we saw similar intentions for Sowore. It was therefore accurate to predict that “Sowore may not be released till end of Buhari’s second term”.  The fact that he was ultimately released yesterday did not contradict that prediction. In fact, releasing him along Dasuki confirms our instinct. The prediction was not to give a date for his release, but rather to tell you the principles guiding the thoughts of the people involved.

Another aspect of Rambo’s analysis that turned out accurate was the fact that Rambo stated that the outcome of Sowore’s case would not depend on the normal application of the law. Rambo said we should look beyond the law in order to assess the outcome. In fact, the circumstances of his release confirmed that. He was not released in normal flow of law. It was just one arbitrary act of government reversing another arbitrary act of the same government.

Now, watch out for the following tricks from government: By emphasizing that they could still appeal against the Court order granting him bail and by emphasizing that Sowore must keep to the terms of his bail, the government is actually warning the judge not to vary the terms of bail again. And if the terms of bail are not varied, that means that Sowore cannot travel out of Abuja until the case is over. That may mean that he cannot see his children. That means that he will not address any gathering till the case is over. And when will the case be over? Not likely before the end of Buhari’s second term. So, they have silenced him effectively. If he doesn’t comply with the terns of bail, his bail will be revoked and he will be detained with a court order and nobody may accuse the government. So, Sowore’s rights are still in danger. But you may not know that.

To understand what is going on, you need to think deeply and smartly. What we ought to focus attention on is the various subtle ways the government is resisting the Court. We knew that Sowore’s case was calculatedly meant for Dasuki treatment. And when the demand for Sowore’s release came, they released Dasuki along.